Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-21 19.405974 22.410100 25.655890 29.414814 33.639123 38.230647 43.589575
2025-09-28 13.793742 17.823513 22.597633 28.628961 35.999577 44.665430 55.572326
2025-10-05 11.646100 16.400581 22.438689 30.571473 41.127507 54.243049 71.631152
2025-10-12 10.074914 15.257101 22.231260 32.130559 45.617221 63.121547 87.287095
2025-10-19 8.550352 13.841404 21.347071 32.511945 48.385251 69.782540 100.366079
2025-10-26 7.318793 12.604433 20.474161 32.688086 50.726855 75.869724 112.913052
2025-11-02 6.194320 11.327562 19.333729 32.268905 52.065388 80.524434 123.634316
2025-11-09 5.235333 10.149894 18.166171 31.622814 52.919023 84.428113 133.397768
2025-11-16 4.424666 9.084668 17.024206 30.850959 53.440392 87.780234 142.441406
2025-11-23 3.683764 8.017087 15.730780 29.663872 53.150248 89.807540 149.522180
2025-11-30 3.395662 7.746481 15.768224 30.683441 56.450484 97.501898 165.581309
2025-12-07 3.100168 7.412776 15.645537 31.394090 59.258483 104.540594 180.936884
2025-12-14 2.648411 6.717103 14.827414 30.893157 60.158230 108.870838 192.768221
2025-12-21 2.218346 5.993579 13.872371 30.061838 60.456835 112.314480 203.532301
2025-12-28 2.127948 6.016879 14.402834 32.085410 65.992097 124.840232 229.871179
2026-01-04 2.006101 5.942738 14.718351 33.710219 70.904185 136.565202 255.453277
2026-01-11 1.796086 5.610395 14.438360 34.107636 73.541124 144.474113 274.950921
2026-01-18 1.597047 5.264243 14.077661 34.291189 75.763071 151.747064 293.682245
2026-01-25 1.383655 4.831953 13.458132 33.854332 76.722702 156.777374 308.709383
2026-02-01 1.186213 4.397676 12.768167 33.180933 77.137407 160.802245 322.109867
2026-02-08 1.010002 3.981862 12.058314 32.376352 77.200881 164.143922 334.399558
2026-02-15 0.839671 3.537811 11.205143 31.138708 76.244549 165.468765 343.026869
2026-02-22 0.787269 3.470068 11.325960 32.201717 80.237749 176.492244 370.067936